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Latino protesters wave signs during a march and rally against the election of Republican Donald Trump as President of the United States in Los Angeles, California, U.S. November 12, 2016. KPMG and CB Insights blame uncertainty surrounding the US election for hitting investment.
REUTERS/Ted Soqui





Global investment into fintech companies fell in the third quarter of the year, with investors put off by uncertainty surrounding Brexit and the US elections, according to new data from KPMG and CB Insights.

$2.9 billion (2.3 billion) was invested into fintech - financial technology - companies around the world in the third quarter of 2016, according to the Pulse of Fintech report, which measures equity transactions to venture capital-backed fintech companies globally.

That is less than half the amount invested in fintech in the third quarter of 2015 and represents a sharp drop off from the $9.4 billion invested in the second quarter.KPMG/CB Insights



KPMG and CB Insights write in the report: "The US and the UK bore the brunt of market uncertainties during Q316.

"Between the aftermath of the Brexit vote in the UK, the ongoing US presidential election and the pending increase in US interest rates, it is not surprising that many investors in Europe and North America took a pause with respect to deploying capital."

The slowdown means KPMG and CB Insights forecast that 2016 will see only a slight increase in investment into VC-backed fintech companies compared to last year.KPMG/CB Insights



However, a rival report from data provider Pitchbook and trade body Innovate Finance
, also released on Wednesday, claims fintech investment has already surpassed 2015 total of $14.9 billion and stands at $15.2 billion globally in 2016.

KPMG and CB Insights say in their report that VC-backed US fintechs raised just $900 million in the third quarter, compared to $1.7 billion in the second quarter of this year and $2.8 billion in the third quarter of 2015.

Worryingly for the UK, Germany surpassed British funding for the second quarter in a row
and is on track to attract more fintech investment than the UK this year for the first time. UK companies raised $78 million in the third quarter, compared with Germany's figure of $108 million.

Pitchbook and Innovate Finance's figures show total VC investment in UK fintech firms so far this year is 26% lower than what it was at the same time in 2015.

Lawrence Wintermeyer, head of fintech trade body Innovate Finance, told the Financial Times that he is aware of 30 fintech startups that have had funding either cancelled or postponed in the wake of the Brexit vote.


Ripple, founded by Chris Larson, pictured, had the biggest US fintech funding round of the third quarter, raising $55 million.
Chris Larsen




However, the KPMG and CB Insights report says: "Despite these challenges, the UK is still well-positioned to maintain its spot as a fintech powerhouse, especially once investor confidence begins to recover in coming quarters. Post-Brexit, the UK may even be able to offer advantages over other European nations that will enable fintech to thrive."

Across Europe, fintech funding declined from $443 million in the second quarter to $233 million in the third.

KPMG and CB Insights add that the outlook for fintech globally remains positive despite the funding slowdown, saying: "As market uncertainties begin to stabilize in Q4, fintech investment may regain momentum."

The report adds: "The drop-off in fintech investment is in part due to a lack of $1 billion+ mega-deals, which have helped prop up the numbers in previous quarters.

"Q116 for example, included $1 billion+ funding rounds to JD Finance and Lu.com, which represented almost half of Q1s total fintech investment."

Asia was the only continent to see a quarterly increase in fintech funding in the third quarter, with $1.2

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Brian Chesky, CEO of Airbnb.
REUTERS/Denis Balibouse




Airbnb could slow down the growth in hotel revenues by almost double what Morgan Stanley analysts previously thought - according to a report by Morgan Stanley.

Growth in the number of people who use Airbnb, as well as the number of people who use it instead of hotels, has been higher than expected - the findings of a Morgan Stanley AlphaWise survey show in the report.

As a result, the analysts predicted growth in hotel revenues will slow by 80% more than they previously thought - and this drag on growth contradicts both investors' expectations and a report showing the exact opposite
.

There was an almost 9% jump in the number of users that would have otherwise stayed in a hotel if Airbnb didn't exist, compared to the same survey last year - the survey of almost 4,400 Airbnb users in the US, UK, France, and Germany showed.

The jump means that almost half (49%) of Airbnb demand comes from hotels. In addition, the survey suggests that "penetration" - the percentage of leisure/business travelers that have used Airbnb at least once - is at 19%/18%, up from 12%/12% last year.

As a result, the effect Airbnb has on hotels' "revenue growth per available room" (RevPAR) - a performance metric used in the hotel industry - is projected by the analysts to be 80% more than they expected for 2016.

The report says that this contradicts what most investors believe - that the slowdown in hotel RevPAR has reached a limit. It says: "While we are sure the majority of investors know that Airbnb presents a risk, we believe there is growing optimism that we are close to a floor on RevPAR deceleration."

The survey also contradicts the findings of data research firm STR
, which used data provided by Airbnb and found that Airbnb is not actually replacing hotels. STR declined to comment on this story.

The 9% jump also shows that hotels are losing demand a lot more quickly than any other type of alternative accommodation, the report demonstrates.

Growth in the number of people using Airbnb who would otherwise use other types of alternative accommodation, such as bed and breakfasts, has either been just 2%, remained the same or has been negative - compared to last year.

Airbnb users are substituting away from hotels more than any other accommodation type - and more quickly.
AlphaWise, Morgan Stanley Research




The analysts backs up their view that Airbnb is having a material impact on hotels with more data, including the fall in the number of "compression nights" - nights when hotels are near full occupancy so can charge a premium - in the top 25 US markets, which have grown every year since 2009 apart from the last two years.

The number of nights hotels are near full occupancy in the top 25 US markets has fallen for the first time since 2009.
STR; Morgan Stanley Research




A spokesperson for Airbnb said: "We've long believed that for for us to win, no one has to lose. Today, travel is growing faster than ever and last year, the hotel industry enjoyed record profits. At the same time, millennials continue to make it clear that they want to spend money on experiences like traveling and seeing the world. There's no question that travel and hospitality will continue to grow and that's good news for everyone."

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